Golfers have been asking me privately how to look at the k-line. In addition, there are many big V who are proud to tell everyone that watching the K-line is useless, technology, hot money, and so on are all deceptive, they have never watched these, and they are still very successful. Since everyone can’t understand it, of course you choose the path that doesn’t need to look at the K-line, and detour when you encounter difficulties. This is very human nature, so who is right?
There is only one criterion, and that is who makes money, who is right, right? The fact is that there are very successful cases in these two groups of extreme ideological opposing groups. The conclusion is that what suits you is the best, success or failure depends on your choice, and you will use your life to verify it.
And I think that buying a stock is buying a company. This simple and direct thinking is very correct. You can understand value investing as soon as you hear it. If you don’t understand, you will never understand it. The mainstream thinking of Snowball is basically this, but most people don’t understand that this is conditional, just blindly believe it, which is a bit misleading.
First of all, you have to really understand the company, read the financial report, know the demand situation, etc. Knowing the company omits 10,000 words here. Secondly, you have to believe in the company and understand the company’s executives, bosses, business models, and future prospects. Also, have faith and accompany the company through the dark bear market and difficult times unconditionally. This is a prerequisite, otherwise, countless detours will be born, because there are too many conditions, it can be said that it is very, very difficult to persevere.
It is already very professional to understand the company. If you have never worked in the company, you will not even be able to understand the fur. You also need to believe in the leader of the company. You are not his parents. Where does the belief come from? Don’t say it’s a stranger, it’s your own brother, do you dare to invest money in him? To buy a stock is to buy a company, which is correct nonsense. When Daoda invested in NetEase, it made more than 100 times. It was because you knew the company’s cash flow, business model, prospects, and knew the boss, and then added leverage (borrowed money) to gamble. It is equivalent to having an insider. Do you have this condition? He has done a big business, he has connections, his life has been up and down, and he is proficient in shopping malls. Do you have this experience?
We ordinary people are far from these legendary figures, not a little bit, but an all-round difference, and we have no way to fight. Luckily we have almost the same amount of time, where they can’t take the time to experience, we can, the way they can’t, we can try. You don’t want to overtake on a curve, but you want to see the taillights, that’s fine. But if you have to stand on the same starting line with them and race on the same track, no one will stop you, whatever.
There are really not many paths for you to choose from a small retail investor who has become a monk halfway through, and you have to give up the right avenue. But there will always be someone who will come out, and this is also a survivor bias. Many people suspect that the hot money rumored in the society is fake and is to mislead retail investors. Really or not, you ask the boss of the sales department, provided that you have the qualifications to ask this question. You can even bet 100,000 with me, saying that I am fake, and go to the sales department to check transaction records and assets.
Of course, there are also critics who criticize this kind of speculation for not long-term. Indeed, there are many tragedies in the end, but it is not denied that there will be a day when the chuck is wrong. Snowball itself provides many examples. If you want to see the fall of those superstars, as long as you snowball for a few more years, you will not be disappointed, especially now that it has dropped to 3000 points, it is all a joke.
Retail investors must take advantage of it. If you play professionally, I avoid it. You use research to play cards, use capital advantages, use information, use channels, etc. to be strong. As long as you are good at it, I will avoid it and open my own path, okay?
Open your mind, all roads lead to Rome, so you will see that you don’t have to be a professional financial student, you don’t have to be a famous teacher, you don’t have to be a famous school or a top-level evil martial arts. Not some professor, star, leader, insider. They may have shining moments, but not necessarily for long. The fairest thing about the stock market is that this is a jungle, and it’s the same for everyone, no matter where they come from.
No matter what you learn, remember to specialize in one point. This is the only way you can differentiate yourself from others. Your choice is your talent, and your talent is your interest. No matter what it is, don’t care what others say. Yes, go your own way. To learn the chuck, you need to have the conditions I mentioned above. To learn speculation, you need to be proficient in k-line technology, and you don’t need everything. The same is true of the art of war. You hit you, I hit me, you don’t follow your rhythm, you just stare blankly.
Doing speculation also requires a process. Looking at the k-line is just a foundation. First of all, you have to understand the basic meaning of the candlestick chart. Then, you have to learn a lot of terms in the candlestick chart, what induces long and short-term transactions, the volume of turnover can be changed, and the order of the handicap is placed on the outer disk and inner disk. Finally, you want to summarize what is going to happen when these signals occur, and what is the response. It is also necessary to consider the thinking of opponents under what conditions, the emotions and reactions of the public, who is the flock and who is the leader. Is it too complicated? It’s a bit like real-time strategy in games, and it pays attention to the talent of on-the-spot reaction, which is completely different from the mechanical plot of role-playing. At the same time, it also requires a process of mastery. Many people will deny it immediately after trying it. Those who have half a bucket of water may have tried it for more than ten years and then tell you that it will not work! can you believe it?
Is there an easy way? None, it depends on which path you are suitable for, right? It is full of thorns, but you can think about what you are lacking, what you are not good at, what you don’t have, and what path to take, while groping and trying to live.
No matter which path you take, you need faith, and then return to the original intention of silent dedication and perseverance.
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