This year has been bloody and bloody in the market. Many stocks have been discounted, and public and private equity has also retreated hugely. I believe that every investor with a position at this time will be in a bad mood.
As the saying goes, investing is the realization of knowledge. But cognition is only in the past tense. With many new situations and new problems, cognition cannot keep up. Naturally suffered.
From a macro perspective, everyone has always said that investment is the national destiny of investment. At present, our country is not what it used to be in any way. Each of us can feel that, 1990-2000; 2000-2010; 2010-2020, every 10 years, the situation around us and ourselves has changed dramatically. And they are all positive developments. The most intuitive example is that mobile phones and cars are now almost universal. This is also a development process of our country from big to strong. From this point of view, our investment direction is right.
From another perspective, the stock market is a collection of outstanding Chinese companies, which are the lifeline and pillar of our country’s economy. Their shares are either pledged in banks or used for equity incentives. All are equivalent to real money. Then any system decline will affect national financial security and social instability. Our country has strict financial control, and I believe the country will handle any risks. Just like the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, various nuclear wars, world wars and other rumors, but the Russian stock market is operating normally.
Therefore, there is no need to worry. But if there is no systematic method, it is normal to lose a lot of money, or even lose everything. For example, heavy positions in Hong Kong stocks, increased leverage, single hanging, etc. are deadly methods. All are lethal.
I will briefly talk about my investment system and communicate with you.
1. Private equity investment: Private equity bulls are also dependent on the sky, lack flexibility, and have many drawbacks. No new positions have been opened in the past two years. The quantification of private equity is enhanced, the equipment is advanced, and the talents are concentrated. It is still relatively reliable, and it is still held. There are many things in CTA that cannot be tracked, and it was withdrawn at the beginning of the year after a little profit. Private equity has all kinds of shady and thunder, I am lucky, the investment is about to go public, and I don’t plan to invest again in the future.
2. Investment in automatic redemption option products (xueqiu): There are various types of these products, each of which has certain adaptability. Therefore, its timing is very critical. Shock, rise, fall, there are different corresponding products. At a certain point in time, it can be regarded as a high-interest rate fixed income.
3. Public offering investment: Public offering is flexible, with a low starting point, a wide variety of types, and no risk of delisting. It is a good thing that can be attacked and defended. But it needs two winds, the investment types are scattered, and the investment process is windy. In other words, invest in multiple funds to lengthen the investment cycle. This principle is because the stock fluctuates and falls 80-90% of the time, and only rises 10% of the time, so the point you invest is likely to be in the stage of shock or decline. Therefore, lengthening the investment cycle, on the one hand, experience a sense of Good, on the other hand, the bottom has accumulated a lot of chips as well. In layman’s terms, it is to do enough foreplay and wait for the climax.
4. Stock investment: As a retail investor, the knowledge of stock fundamentals cannot be compared with funds with a strong investment team. The only advantage of retail investors is that the funds are small and easy to enter and exit. So how to take advantage of this. From my experience, it’s short-term. The results have been good for the past few years. This year, the rate of return is still more than 98% of GF clients. Stock operation ideas, look for hot or oversold sectors, and star fund managers also hold them. Such as photovoltaics, new energy vehicles, batteries, chips, medicine. Then look for strong stocks in the plate, and then do the rise or callback of strong stocks. Tentatively entered, fell to cover up to two times. The total amount of funds for a single stock is controlled. When the orgasm comes, it’s halfway out, and it’s another orgasm, and it’s halfway out. Under normal circumstances, the climax is mostly once. Therefore, the climax is a good countermeasure. I’ve been through it once, where a 20% gain didn’t come in, it fell back to 8% late in the session, and it was down 13% the next day. From a profit of more than 200,000 to a loss of 20,000. It only takes 2 days. Therefore, it is the kingly way to take it as soon as it is good, and accumulate it for a long time.
5. Reserve cash: In the bottom stage, it is a very good idea to reserve 15-20% cash in hand.
The cash in hand, first of all, is a guarantee for the consumption of oneself and the family in the next few years.
With the cash in hand, you can step in step by step during the falling stage of the fund.
With cash in hand, buying stocks can be leveraged during a strong rally in the broader market.
This part of cash is waiting for the opportunity to attack when the market has a liquidity crisis. After the liquidity risk is removed, it will be reserved in cash.
In short, this year, the long pullback of private equity is relatively large. Quantification is fine. The drop-knocking snowball operates normally. Public offering has minimal drawdown. The stock also has an 8% gain. Cash reserves are also slowly coming into play. @linjia510
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