one’s fate

Original link: https://tumutanzi.com/archives/17063

Slight insomnia last night, because I saw some news about my former club.

Finally, this real estate company couldn’t hold on anymore. Its annual sales exceeded 100 billion yuan, but it couldn’t even pay the due interest of more than 20 million US dollars of bonds. The news, this matter all shows that the situation behind it may not be optimistic. What’s more, some rumors have always been far ahead prophecies…

Regardless of whether it is public or private, I still hope that the former club can survive this hurdle. The economic environment at the entire social level cannot bear such tossing.

I joined the industry 6 years ago at the peak of real estate and officially left the industry 2 years ago. In retrospect, getting into the industry was a bit like joining the National Army in 1949 and leaving by coincidentally being on a lifeboat before the Titanic hit an iceberg and sank. It’s really unpredictable, and fortune is unpredictable.

A Fortune 500 company for many years, there is a feeling that it will collapse at any time, and the entire company seems to have done nothing wrong. In the final analysis, we still haven’t experienced the test of the big cycle, and none of us have experienced it. When the bosses are making great strides, they speak boldly and think that they are omnipotent. They probably don’t think that the main reason for all this is the gift of the times.

Most of us are really ” fools who wandered around randomly “. In the random walk, some people are lucky to go in the right direction, and some people are unfortunately going in the wrong direction, but if all the results are attributed to the outstanding ability of the individual, it would be a bit overpowering. There is a saying that everyone is familiar with: choice is greater than effort. That’s probably what it means.

I remember that two years ago, the former founder of the company quoted a famous saying to encourage employees: the journey is long, and the only thing to do is struggle. Now that I think about it, striving in the wrong direction is likely to speed up our demise, not to mention the fact that personal power itself is very small.

Inadvertently, I checked the stock prices/prices of several representative companies/products in different industries/tracks in the past 5 years, and selected:

  1. Petroleum: Sinopec
  2. Real Estate: Country Garden
  3. Internet: Google Search
  4. Technology Manufacturing: Apple
  5. Artificial Intelligence: Nvidia
  6. Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin

The data shows that the prices of the first two stocks either lost half or almost fell. Even the oil industry, which is closely related to everyone’s daily life, is a bit unbelievable at first glance. As for the prices of the other four stocks or products, Nvidia, which produces graphics cards for artificial intelligence, has increased by 4 times in 5 years, and even Bitcoin, which is highly volatile and high-risk in people’s impression, has increased by 3.6 times.

This may also show that choice is greater than effort. Thinking of this, a philosophy of the elder echoed in my mind:

A person’s destiny, of course, depends on self-struggle, but the itinerary of history must also be considered.

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