Original link: https://wmdpd.com/da-jia-you-mei-you-yi-chong-shi-jie-zou-xiang-mo-ri-de-gan-jue/
Panda wishes everyone a happy June 1st! By the way, let’s celebrate the beginning of Shanghai’s unblocking, if all goes well.
This article comes from Zhihu’s answer. Now it has 4192 likes, so the link will not be given. Anyway, I have deleted it.
Note that I did not make any value judgments in my answer, but simply pointed out the fact that the underlying logic that supported the world to maintain its operation and prosperity is no longer valid. Therefore, the world order will change accordingly until a new order emerges. This process is a process of ritual collapse and music collapse , so it is normal to have the feeling that the world is going to the end of the world, and it is abnormal if it is not. And relatively speaking, the more people who have a vested interest in the previous world order, the stronger the feeling of the end is coming. If it is a mountain person who does not know Han, no matter Wei Jin, then it is normal to feel nothing.
At the same time, no one knows to what extent the vested interests of the real previous world order will admit that the new order is irresistible.
This is a game where the winner cannot get out of the table, and only the loser can decide when to get out of the table.
You must know that the spiritual foundation of the founding of the United States is the city on the top of the mountain, the land promised by God , that is to say, the status of the world can rise but not fall, otherwise the covenant with God will be broken, and the road will be narrowed. No one can determine what kind of backlash will appear after breaking this foundation.
As for the proletarians, all they lose is the yoke , and what they gain will be the whole world .
hope so.
Original answer below.
Yes, because China’s demographic dividend period is over .
The beginning of the Cold War was a process in which the demographic dividend period continued to appear and shift.
After the end of the demographic dividend period in developed countries, the manufacturing industry will be transferred to the first island chain.
After the end of the first island chain’s demographic dividend period, the manufacturing industry will be transferred to China.
For each transfer, the demographic dividend of the transfer destination is more than the transfer source.
So in fact, this is a process of increasing equivalent producers all over the world .
The increasing proportion of producers brings an endogenous deflationary trend , so the economic policies of various countries can arbitrarily wave while controlling inflation. After all, there are demographic dividend countries that produce to pay for it.
Come out and mix sooner or later.
With the end of China’s demographic dividend period, it is no longer possible to find a country that is larger than China and has the ability to accept the transfer of corresponding manufacturing industries.
Who can replace China? India? Africa? Stop being funny.
For the first time since the Cold War, the world faces a future of declining global productivity .
The basic premise of the economic policies that worked in the past no longer exists , but it seems to me that everyone is beating the drums and not willing to face reality haha.
The reason why inflation cannot be controlled recently is not just because of the additional currency issuance during the epidemic in the United States. The fundamental reason is that the next purpose of transferring demographic dividends cannot be found in the world economic cycle, resulting in the proportion of producers and consumers becoming less and less and the ratio of support falling. If it does not come down, consumption will go up and production will go down, which will inevitably bring about endogenous inflation. Of course, the issuance of additional currency exacerbated this phenomenon, but the root cause was not monetary policy.
The root cause is that China’s demographic dividend period is over, and there will be fewer and fewer equivalent producers worldwide in the future.
There is no way to make the cake bigger, so in order to grab the cake, the dog’s brain has to be punched out .
The main contradiction in this world has changed.
The Golden Age is officially over.
That’s it.
Whoever controls the producers can control inflation.
Technological advancements may indeed allow fewer producers to achieve more productivity, but it remains to be seen whether they can hedge against the reality of a declining number of producers.
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