COSCO SHIPPING Holdings: How do you view and analyze the freight index?

$COSCO SHIPPING Holdings(SH601919)$

There are various international container freight indices. What to look at and how to look at them can be summarized simply, so that once the price of one of the indicators fluctuates, people will be panicked and panic all day long. Where do you wake up, the willow bank Xiaofeng waning moon, the waning moon under the cold sand, sand… Forget it and get back to business.

FBX Baltic Sea Freight Index

Reflects the spot freight rates of 40-foot containers on 12 major global shipping routes between Asia, Europe, North America and South America, including sea freight and related surcharges (fuel surcharge, peak season surcharge, port congestion surcharge, canal surcharge, etc.), However, import duties and port charges at the port of departure/port of destination are not included.

The weight of each route is mainly based on the proportion of freight volume. The routes and weights are as follows:

1. FBX01 China/East Asia to North America West Coast (20.30%)

2. FBX02 North America West Coast to China/East Asia (9.76%)

3. FBX03 China/East Asia to North America East Coast (10.46%)

4. FBX04 North America East Coast to China/East Asia (5.03%)

5. FBX11 China/East Asia to Northern Europe (17.26%)

6. FBX12 Northern Europe to China/East Asia (10.16%)

7. FBX13 China/East Asia to Mediterranean (9.02%)

8. FBX14 Mediterranean to China/East Asia (5.31%)

9. FBX21 North America East Coast to Europe (2.67%)

10. FBX22 Europe to North America East Coast (5.50%)

11. FBX24 Europe to South America East Coast (1.77%)

12. FBX26 Europe to South America West Coast (2.76%)

WCI Drewry World Containerized Freight Index

It reflects the freight rates of 40-foot containers on 8 major shipping routes in the world. The routes and weights are as follows:

1. Shanghai to Rotterdam, Netherlands (24.8%) (Far East to Northern Europe)

2. Rotterdam to Shanghai (11.3%) (Northern Europe to Far East)

3. Shanghai to Genoa, Italy (13.8%) (Far East to European Mediterranean basic port)

4. Shanghai to Los Angeles (23.9%) (Far East to West America)

5. Los Angeles to Shanghai (11.6%) (West America to Far East)

6. Shanghai to New York (8.8%) (Far East to US East)

7. New York to Shanghai (2.6%) (US East to Far East)

8. Rotterdam to New York (3.4%) (Northern Europe to East US)

CCFI&SCFI China (Shanghai) Export Container Freight Index

Reflecting the freight rates of 20-foot containers on the main export routes of China (Shanghai) ports, the routes and weights are as follows:

1. China (Shanghai) to European base ports (20%)

2. China (Shanghai) to the European Mediterranean basic port (10%)

3. China (Shanghai) to West America (20%)

4. China (Shanghai) to US East (7.5%)

5. China (Shanghai) to Persian Gulf (Red Sea) (7.5%)

6. China (Shanghai) to Australia and New Zealand (5%)

7. China (Shanghai) to West Africa (2.5%)

8. China (Shanghai) to South Africa (2.5%)

9. China (Shanghai) to Japan (Kanto, Kansai) (10%)

10. China (Shanghai) to Singapore (Southeast Asia) (7.5%)

11. China (Shanghai) to South Korea (2.5%)

To sum up: FBX Baltic Sea Freight Index examines the overall prosperity of the world economy; there are big fish and trash fish in it, and it depends on the quality of water quality;

The WCI Drewry World Container Freight Index examines the profitability of the three major alliances; it looks at the growth of big fish;

The CCFI&SCFI China (Shanghai) Export Container Freight Index examines the subdivision and focuses on the prosperity of China’s export trade economy; it looks at the water quality of China’s water outlets and the growth of pike among the big fish;

If you are keen on judging the international economic situation, please pay attention to FBX;

If you are keen to judge the pattern of the three major alliances, please pay attention to WCI;

If it is just to track and predict the performance of Haikong, it is enough to look at CCFI and SCFI;

Facts have proved that in the fourth quarter of 2021, Haikong’s single-quarter performance has also been officially decoupled from CCFI. It only depends on someone’s thought, as the so-called:

A heaven, a hell

@Cloudless sailing away

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