On the afternoon of December 6, at the invitation of Tsinghua University, Feng Zijian, former deputy director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and member of the expert group of the National Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism for New Coronary Virus Pneumonia, gave an online lecture entitled “How to Rationally Face Omicron ” special report. In the special report, Feng Zijian made a judgment on the current and future development of the epidemic situation. Feng Zijian said, “No matter what form the (epidemic prevention and control) policy is adjusted, most of us will inevitably encounter an infection. According to mathematical models, when the first wave of large-scale shocks reaches its peak, the number of infections in our population will The rate may reach about 60%, and then it will gradually fall back to a plateau, and eventually 80%-90% of our people will experience infection.” Feng Zijian said.
| Related reading (China Youth Daily)
In fact, this conclusion should have been reached when the Omicron virus mutated to BA.5. As the R0 value of the Omicron variant is getting higher and higher, in fact, unless everyone never goes out, they will be banned forever. At home, otherwise no one can completely eliminate the risk of infection.
This is also the reason why European and American countries have begun to open up in the spring and summer of this year. It is not because of other reasons, but because Omicron is fundamentally unstoppable. We rely on continuous infection and immunity, and eventually coexist with this virus. , In the end, 80%-90% of people may be infected. This conclusion came too late in our country.
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