In 2022, the national population will decrease by 850,000 people! Negative growth for the first time in 61 years

The inflection point of history has really come. GDP may increase in one year, but the population cannot be reversed in ten years.

In 2022, the number of births will fall below 10 million, and it is shocking under the relaxed background of the three-child policy.

The three-year epidemic has had a great impact on people’s willingness to have children. Economically, the income of many couples of childbearing age has a great impact, which may make them postpone or even cancel their plans to have children. From a psychological point of view, the three years of the epidemic have created uncertainty about people’s expectations for the future, which may also affect fertility.

We have also seen that even if some localities have introduced some measures to encourage births, they are basically useless. It is difficult to improve the fertility rate because our society needs to do too much, and the shortcomings in education, medical care and social equity cannot be filled overnight.

The current policy of encouraging births does not address the pain point of negative population growth for the first time in 61 years. Especially under the influence of factors such as high unemployment rate, difficulty in finding jobs for fresh graduates, and high costs of children’s education and housing, the three-child policy is unlikely to be effective. In addition, from the perspective of developed economies around the world, the decline in fertility rate is universal. With the continuous improvement of social security, the concept of raising children for old age has become a thing of the past. Even without the above-mentioned unfavorable factors affecting childbearing, the willingness to bear children will not be effectively improved, because people pay more attention to their own quality of life.

This should be good news for ordinary people. The competition doesn’t have to be so fierce, life doesn’t have to be so complicated, and they don’t have to live like cattle and horses. There is no need for government agencies to raise a bunch of redundant idlers to force them to improve work efficiency.

A friend said that the current policy of encouraging children is as weak as a joke, which shows that they don’t take it seriously.