Many places have announced that the peak of the first wave of infection of the new crown has passed. When will the second wave come?

Since December 2022, various places have experienced a peak of new crown infection. Recently, many places have released the latest research and judgment, and the first wave of infection peak has passed, and fever clinics continue to decline. Professor Zhang Wenhong, director of the National Center for Infectious Diseases and director of the Infectious Diseases Department of Huashan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University, publicly stated that it is inferred that the peak date of the second wave of infections will be between May and June 2023. Zhang Wenhong estimates that the proportion of infected people in the second wave of the epidemic will be 25%-50%, and symptoms may ease. As the virus becomes less and less virulent, it has formed a trend that is unlikely to be reversed in the short term. | Related reading (China News Weekly)

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Basically, it has only been a month since the major shift in the epidemic policy, and we can see that almost the whole country has ushered in the first wave of infections. Judging from the recovery situation, many areas have already passed the first wave of infection.

However, the next situation is still very tense. The Spring Festival is approaching, the Spring Festival travel is about to start, and the flow of people in various places has increased sharply. This may mean that there may be a new wave of infections after the Spring Festival. The infection situation depends on the infection in various places. For the over-peak situation, secondly, it depends on whether the new strain XBB will cause everyone to experience secondary infection in a short period of time. Generally speaking, the next task is still very arduous.

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