Xiaokang shares: pre-loss in the first half of the year from 1.6 billion to 1.76 billion

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The production and sales of new energy vehicles hit a record high, driving the prosperity of the lithium industry to rise, and the story of lithium industry companies’ wealth creation continues. Judging from the results and performance forecasts announced one after another, the profits of many listed companies soared in the first half of the year.

Tianqi Lithium announced on the morning of Thursday (July 14) that it expects a net profit of 9.6 billion to 11.6 billion yuan in the first half of this year, a year-on-year increase of more than 110 times.

On the evening of the 13th, Salt Lake, known as the “King of Potash Fertilizers”, disclosed its semi-annual performance forecast for 2022. The company expects a net profit of 9 billion to 9.4 billion yuan in the first half of 2022, a year-on-year increase of more than three times.

Also on the evening of the 13th, Rongjie, a major lithium mine stock, announced that the net profit in the first half of the year is expected to be 530 million to 630 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of more than 40 times.

On the 14th, David Sacks, general partner of venture capital fund Craft Ventures, tweeted “If this year proves anything, it is that without energy independence, there is no security (at all).” Subsequently, Tesla CEO Musk replied to the tweet, “Absolutely. Lithium batteries are the new oil.”

Due to the large increase in the past, despite the sharp increase in the performance forecast, the stock prices of the above-mentioned stocks generally performed poorly today. As of the close at noon, Tianqi Lithium’s A shares fell 0.89%, and Hong Kong stocks fell 2.32%. Salt Lake shares fell 2.59% and Rongjie shares fell 6.1%.

Listed companies in the lithium industry make a lot of money

On the morning of the 14th, Tianqi Lithium announced that it is expected that as of June 30, the net profit attributable to shareholders of the company is expected to range from 9.6 billion to 11.6 billion yuan, an increase of about 11089% to 13420% over the same period last year.

In the same period last year, Tianqi Lithium’s net profit was about 85.8 million. The net profit in the first half of this year is calculated at 9.6 billion yuan. Tianqi Lithium earns 53 million yuan a day, and the net profit in just 39 hours is equivalent to the net profit in the first half of last year.

The main reasons for the change in performance in the first half of this year are:

The company expects that the operating income during the reporting period will increase significantly compared with the same period of the previous year, mainly due to the improvement of the global new energy vehicle boom, the accelerated capacity expansion of lithium-ion battery manufacturers, and the recovery of orders for downstream cathode materials. During the reporting period, the company’s main lithium The sales volume and average selling price of products both increased significantly compared with the same period of the previous year;

During the reporting period, SES Holdings Pte, in which the company participated. Ltd is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, so long-term equity investments are derecognized and recognized as financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income, and investment income is recognized. The above investment income arising from passive disposal of long-term equity investments due to passive dilution is non-recurring gains and losses;

In addition, the company employs foreign institutions to associate Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile SA. The forecasted earnings per share for the second quarter of 2022 and other information, calculate the company’s investment income in SQM in the same period, it is expected that SQM’s 2022 interim performance will increase significantly year-on-year, so it is confirmed in the reporting period that the investment income of the associate has a relatively large increase compared to the same period of the previous year. increase.

On the morning of the 13th, Tianqi Lithium was listed on the Hong Kong stock market, becoming the largest IPO of Hong Kong stocks so far this year. Tianqi Lithium has also become the second “A+H” lithium mining giant to be listed in two places after Ganfeng Lithium. On the first day of listing in Hong Kong stocks, Tianqi Lithium opened 9.15% lower at HK$74.5, which fell below the issue price of HK$82 per share, and fell by more than 11% during the session; as of the close, Tianqi Lithium reported HK$82, with no change. .

Tianqi Lithium has recently been the focus of the lithium battery sector and even A shares. On the evening of July 10, Xu Xiang’s wife Ying Ying said: “Tianqi Lithium’s Davies double-click has reached its peak, and the price has been overvalued.” .

The performance is also dazzling and Rongjie shares. On the evening of July 13, Rongjie announced that it is expected to achieve a net profit of 530 million yuan to 630 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 4080.57%-4869.36%. In the same period last year, the net profit of Rongjie shares was 12.68 million yuan. The net profit for only five days in the first half of this year exceeded that of the entire first half of last year.

Rongjie’s Q1 net profit was 254 million yuan. Based on this calculation, it is estimated that Q2 net profit was 276 million yuan to 376 million yuan, an increase of 9% to 48% month-on-month, and a single-quarter net profit hit a record high.

Rongjie Co., Ltd. said that the substantial increase in performance was due to the continuous improvement of the new energy industry, the continuous increase in the price of upstream materials and products in the lithium battery industry, and the continuous increase in the demand for lithium battery materials and lithium battery equipment. The company’s lithium concentrate, lithium salt, lithium battery equipment Both operating income and profit increased significantly.

The performance forecast of the “King of Potash Fertilizer” Salt Lake shares also exceeded the expectations of most institutions.

On the evening of July 13, the company released a forecast for the first half of the year. It is expected that the net profit in the first half of the year will reach 9 billion to 9.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 325.63%-344.55%. This level of net profit sets a new record and exceeds the net profit for the whole year of 2021.

Salt Lake Co., Ltd. has the dual main business of potassium and lithium. The company said that the sharp increase in performance was mainly due to the stable production and efficiency of potassium chloride and lithium carbonate during the reporting period, as well as the continued sharp rise in market prices. Judging from the production and sales data, the company’s output of potassium chloride during the reporting period was about 2.64 million tons, and the sales volume was about 2.96 million tons; the output of lithium carbonate was about 15,200 tons, and the sales volume was about 15,000 tons.

Grabbing lithium resources

According to the latest data from the China Automobile Association, my country’s new energy vehicle industry is still in a high boom. In June, the production and sales of new energy vehicles in my country were 590,000 and 596,000 respectively, an increase of 1.3 times year-on-year. From January to June, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 2.661 million and 2.6 million respectively, an increase of 1.2 times year-on-year, and the market share reached 21.6%. Moreover, from the perspective of sales laws, the second half of the year is the real peak sales season for new energy vehicles. With the addition of policies to encourage automobile consumption in various places this year, as well as activities such as new energy vehicles going to the countryside, the demand for new energy vehicles will be further released. The China Automobile Association also raised its annual sales forecast for new energy vehicles to 5.5 million.

From the perspective of market prices, according to Zhuochuang Information data, the price of lithium carbonate has risen from 70,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of 2021 to 350,000 yuan/ton at the end of 2021. In March this year, the price of battery-grade lithium carbonate reached a record high of more than 500,000 yuan per ton. As of July 11 this year, the price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was 482,900 yuan / ton, an increase of 7.97 times compared with the end of 2020; the price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate was 460,000 yuan / ton, an increase of 7.94 times compared with the end of 2020.

On July 11, “Lithium King” Ganfeng Lithium announced a big news.

According to the announcement, the company’s board of directors agreed that the company will acquire 100% of Lithea’s shares through its wholly-owned subsidiary Ganfeng International, and the total consideration for the acquisition will not exceed US$962 million (equivalent to approximately RMB 6.5 billion).

According to Ganfeng Lithium’s 2021 annual report, the company achieved a net profit of 5.228 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 410.26%. In the first quarter of this year, the net profit was 3.525 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 640.41%. What is the origin of the company that “Lithium King” bought with a lot of money? The announcement shows that Lithea was established in 2009 and is mainly engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of lithium mining rights. Its main asset, the PPG project, is a lithium salt lake project in Salta Province, Argentina, including two lithium salt lake assets, Pozuelos and Pastos Grandes.

As the leader of domestic lithium mines, Ganfeng Lithium has been accelerating the pace of capacity expansion in recent years.

According to Ganfeng Lithium’s previous plan, the company will form a lithium product supply capacity with a total annual output of no less than 200,000 tons of LCE in 2025. Ganfeng Lithium said on May 26 that at present, Ganfeng has an effective production capacity of 28,000 tons of lithium carbonate, 70,000 tons of lithium hydroxide, and 2,150 tons of lithium metal, and is constantly seeking to build new production bases around the world. in order to further increase production capacity.

Editor | Lu Xiangyong Du Hengfeng

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