Snowball today | 雪球

The bull and bear I have experienced

I have been paying attention to the stock market since the late 1990s. Today, I have observed and experienced three relatively large bull-bear transitions, namely 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2021-2022. In the 2000-2001 bull-bear transition, there were two very important things: 1. The extremely high valuation bubble of Internet stocks and its burst. Before the bubble

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When will it fall?

After 10:30 this morning, almost all broad-based indices turned red. I almost believed that the market went out of the independent market today. Unfortunately, the good times did not last long. By the end of the day, except for the Shuangchuang Index, which was still red, everything else turned green. The ChiNext Index rose 0.83%

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A 20-year cycle: Dismantling the logic of China’s shipbuilding investment

Shipbuilding is a big cycle, and the mismatch between supply and demand is the main reason for the shipbuilding cycle. From peak to peak, shipbuilding output usually changes several times. The environmental protection requirements of aging ships + carbon emission reduction are the main logic. He is weakly correlated with global trade volume and industry

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Is the health insurance policy really bad?

$Hengrui Pharmaceutical(SH600276)$ $Betta Pharmaceuticals(SZ300558)$ $Rongchang Biology(SH688331)$ Recently, A-shares have fallen into the curse of “one big white horse collapses a day”, including pharmaceutical stocks Mindray Medical, Pien Tze Huang, etc. They have not been spared. Their decline made me sigh that in a bear market, we must retain enough margin of safety. to resist the

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Looking at the pig cycle from the net profit rate of Muyuan in previous years

The first brother and the second brother in the pig breeding industry also issued an announcement on maintaining the stability of pig prices. This is also the first time. Apparently, Fage conducted the window guidance. Two signals are revealed: 1. The large-scale breeding enterprises in the industry have begun to take shape. The leading position

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Fund Advising Trilogy

#Fund investment advisor in my eyes# I remember that at the beginning, it was a fund portfolio opened by various investors, and it was eventually upgraded to a fund investment advisory due to compliance reasons. In this article, I will explain the principle of fund investment advisory from three aspects. I don’t think it is

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