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CITIC Securities believes that under the background of carbon neutrality policy, the low-carbonization of electricity is the key to energy transformation. The key to low-carbonization of electricity is the marketization of electricity, and the key to marketization of electricity is the reform of the electricity price mechanism. The direction of the current reform is that the electricity price formation mechanism is more market-oriented, and the electricity price structure is more detailed to guide costs. On the whole, the new cost of the new power system will make the increase in electricity prices a high probability event. In terms of classification, it is expected that the electricity price on the residential side will remain stable, the power side will benefit, the grid side will have less impact, and high energy-consuming users will bear the cost. According to our calculations, it is estimated that the price of market electricity (non-residential electricity) in 2030 may be close to 0.7 yuan/kWh. (Securities Times)
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