1. The current national pig price is 16.62 yuan, corresponding to a pig-grain ratio of 5.74:1 
The pig price of 19 yuan corresponds to a pig-grain ratio of about 6.56:1
It has just exceeded the three-level warning range (6:1) of excessive decline in pig prices.
The pig price of 20 yuan corresponds to a pig-grain ratio of about 6.9:1
2. The price of pigs may reach around 20 yuan from late June to early July, and will face the first wave of large-scale slaughtering due to slaughtering, and the price will drop to around 18 yuan. After that the first outage occurred.
3. From August to September last year, a large amount of production capacity was reduced. The birth of piglets happens to be from January to February this winter, corresponding to the August to September of this year. There will be a second break in this time period, and the price of pigs may be 25 yuan in advance.
Fourth, any official prediction of pig prices will be a negative indicator. The more authoritative, the worse, especially the prediction of high pig prices.
Dr. Wang can only make judgments based on the data from the Ministry of Agriculture. But he can’t explain why the current pig price is so high.
A few years ago, I made an assumption: if the official authority tells farmers how much the price of pigs can reach in the future, will you expand or keep the same?
Of course, experienced farmers will only make decisions based on their own judgment.
4. Tomorrow will carry out the twelfth batch of central purchase and storage, which is the option mode again.
Will it be 19 yuan this time? $Muyuan Shares(SZ002714)$
This topic has 23 discussions in Snowball, click to view.
Snowball is an investor’s social network, and smart investors are here.
Click to download Snowball mobile client http://xueqiu.com/xz ]]>
This article is reproduced from: http://xueqiu.com/8418018079/222850346
This site is for inclusion only, and the copyright belongs to the original author.